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Fixed Income Research

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  • Adamant Capital (Ukraine)
  • Alfa-Bank Ukraine
  • Cbonds-Ukraine
  • Concorde Capital
  • Eavex Capital
  • Empire State Capital Partners
  • Expert-analytical Center OPTIMA
  • Finance Ministry of Ukraine
  • FUIB
  • ICU
  • Metinvest
  • OTP Bank (Ukraine)
  • Pivdenny Bank
  • Raiffeisen Bank Aval
  • Sberbank (Ukraine)
  • SP Advisors
  • UkrSibbank
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February 15, 2019
Raiffeisen Bank Aval Focus Ukraine (January 2019)
February 14, 2019
Finance Ministry of Ukraine Ukraine: Investor meetings (January 2019)
February 13, 2019
Adamant Capital (Ukraine) Fixed Income Weekly Digest (February 6 - 12, 2019)
February 08, 2019
Alfa-Bank Ukraine Latest developments in Ukraine (08 Feb 2019)
February 06, 2019
ICU Bond Market Insight -- Borrowings down
Description
February's debut auction provided the state budget with a lower amount of funds than the previous two auctions. But, in any case, budget proceeds were sufficient, amounting to UAH6.7bn, most of it in local currency.
February 05, 2019
Adamant Capital (Ukraine) Fixed Income Weekly Digest (January 30 - February 5, 2019)
UkrSibbank Ukrainian Capital Markets Weekly (February 5, 2019)
February 04, 2019
Eavex Capital Ukraine Fixed Income Weekly (Feb. 4, 2019)
Cbonds EM CBONDS GLOBAL MONTHLY NEWSLETTER ISSUE STATISTICS AND LEAGUE TABLES for January 2019
ICU Weekly Insight -- NBU keeps rate at 18%
Description
Despite the positive situation for the UAH and declining inflation, the NBU did not lower the rate in an effort to bring CPI growth to its 5% target in 2020. However, we still expect a gradual increase of the key rate to 16% by YE2019.
Eavex Capital Ukraine Market Monitor (Feb. 4, 2019)
February 01, 2019
Alfa-Bank Ukraine Latest developments in Ukraine (01 Feb 2019)
January 30, 2019
ICU Bond Market Insight -- Successful placements continue
Description
Another new year started with increased activity in the primary bonds market. So far, each auction held by the Ministry of Finance has been larger than the previous one. This week, borrowings amounted to UAH18bn, and half of the funds came from local-currency bills.
January 29, 2019
ICU Weekly Insight -- Hryvnia remains strong
Description
Last week, the hryvnia continued to appreciate, but, expectedly, remained close to UAH28/US$. The NBU contained further appreciation, as it purchased extra FX supply, and may apply the same strategy this week.
Adamant Capital (Ukraine) Fixed Income Weekly Digest (January 23 - 29, 2019)
UkrSibbank Ukraine Capital Markets Weekly
January 28, 2019
Eavex Capital Ukraine Fixed Income Weekly (Jan. 28, 2019)
Eavex Capital Ukraine Market Monitor (Jan. 28, 2019)
January 25, 2019
Alfa-Bank Ukraine Latest developments in Ukraine (25 Jan 2019)
January 24, 2019
ICU Bond Market Insight -- Yield curve stabilizes
Description
The MoF made one step toward the market last week, which this week resulted in a tightened range of rates in demand, and stabilization of cut-off rates for most bills. 
January 23, 2019
ICU Quarterly Report-Muddling through Election Cycle
Description
IMF: SBA program helps Ukraine to muddle through the election year. IMF approval of the new SBA program significantly raises Ukraine's ability to repay the US$9bn FX debt coming due in 2019. However, even with the $1.2bn external financing available in total from the EU and the guarantees provided by the World Bank, the government will have to refinance 100% of domestically issued FX bonds, and come to the capital markets for $1-2bn Eurobond issuance. The government will have to repay US$8.3bn of domestic FX and local-currency bonds in 2019, including US$5.4bn in 1H19. In case markets are unfavourable, the government will have to ask the IMF to redirect one of the SBA tranches to the state budget. April?May are critical for the government's efforts to secure financing of external debt payments, as they peak at $1.6bn in September. 
UkrSibbank Ukraine Capital Markets Weekly
Adamant Capital (Ukraine) Fixed Income Weekly Digest (January 16 - 22, 2019)
January 21, 2019
FUIB Financial markets survey 21.01.2019
ICU Weekly Insight -- Foreign investors' activity increases
Description
At last week's primary auction, the MoF increased cut-off rates for some issues, and borrowed nearly UAH10bn. Part of the new bonds were purchased by foreign investors, and they are expected to continue to increase their portfolios. 
ICU Weekly Insight -- Foreign investors' activity increases
Description
At last week's primary auction, the MoF increased cut-off rates for some issues, and borrowed nearly UAH10bn. Part of the new bonds were purchased by foreign investors, and they are expected to continue to increase their portfolios. 
Eavex Capital Ukraine Fixed Income Weekly (Jan. 21, 2019)
Eavex Capital Ukraine Market Monitor (Jan. 21, 2019)
January 18, 2019
Alfa-Bank Ukraine Latest developments in Ukraine (18 Jan 2019)
January 16, 2019
ICU Bond Market Insight -- MoF moved up yield curve
Description
Low budget revenues at the beginning of this year have forced the Ministry of Finance to review its position on interest rates for local-currency bills. Yesterday, for some maturities, interest rates were increased in response to market reaction on the same issues last December.
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