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Fixed Income Research

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  • Adamant Capital (Ukraine)
  • Concorde Capital
  • Eavex Capital
  • Empire State Capital Partners
  • Finance Ministry of Ukraine
  • FUIB
  • ICU
  • Magister Capital
  • Metinvest
  • Ministry of Economic Development and Trade of Ukraine
  • NRA-Ryurik
  • OTP Bank (Ukraine)
  • Raiffeisen Bank Aval
  • Sberbank (Ukraine)
  • SP Advisors
  • UkrSibbank
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Source Comment
January 22, 2018
Empire State Capital Partners Ukraine Markets Daily January 22, 2018
Eavex Capital Ukraine Market Monitor (Jan. 22, 2018)
ICU Daily Insight -- UAH extends losses
Description
At the end of the week, the hryvnia weakened another 0.2% to 28.8448 UAH/USD, while over the entire week it fell 1.1%, remaining close to the 3-year low. In our view, the UAH's depreciation arose from excess demand for foreign currency at the local market as exporters refrained from selling FX while importers were actively buying FX to hedge themselves. On Friday, the hryvnia sold for 28.56 UAH/USD versus 28.75 to buy at the Ukrainian cash market. Its CPI-based real trade-weighted index fell 0.06% to 102.79; in year-on-year terms, it is down 3.08% from 105.95 last year. 
January 19, 2018
Empire State Capital Partners Ukraine Markets Daily January 19, 2018
ICU Daily Insight -- Hryvnia below 28.7/USD
Description
The hryvnia continued to decline against the US dollar on Thursday after a brief stabilization on Wednesday. While demand for foreign currency again prevailed in the local market, liquidity decreased by UAH1bn. Future external debt repayments and a negative trade balance are hitting the hryvnia in the absence of support from the IMF. Accordingly, the hryvnia decreased by 0.4% to 28.7775 UAH/USD. It sold for 28.48 UAH/USD versus 28.68 to buy at the Ukrainian cash market. Its CPI-based real trade-weighted index declined 0.74% to 102.85; in year-on-year terms, it is down 2.71% from 105.71 last year.
January 18, 2018
Empire State Capital Partners Ukraine Markets Daily January 18, 2018
January 17, 2018
ICU Bond Market Insight -- Bond yields unchanged
Description
The MoF continued to borrow money to support the budget with additional funds, as needed at the beginning of the year, albeit at unusually high interest rates, mostly at 16.00%. Most of yesterday's demand for short-term yields was submitted at 16.00%, similar to previous auctions, and was fully accepted, while a small portion of demand for 9-month bonds at the same rate was rejected.
ICU Daily Insight -- UAH weakens further
Description
The hryvnia declined another 0.3% to 28.6526 UAH/USD, most likely as a result of the federal holiday in the USA on Monday. While deferred demand for the USD at the local market pushed the hryvnia down, the UAH should stabilize this week as exporters are expected to increase FX supply to some extent as they return from the extended holiday break. In the local market, the hryvnia sold for 28.36 UAH/USD versus 28.55 to buy at the Ukrainian cash market. Its CPI-based real trade-weighted index fell 0.09% to 103.61; in year-on-year terms, it is down 2.5% from 106.20 last year.
Empire State Capital Partners Ukraine Markets Daily January 17, 2018
January 16, 2018
ICU Daily Insight -- UAH extends losses
Description
At the beginning of the week, the hryvnia declined another 0.1% to 28.5677 UAH/USD, having weakened for the fifth consecutive trading session. The Ukrainian currency still remains under pressure from low supply as exporters refrain from selling FX currency as they expect the hryvnia to weaken further. In the local market, the hryvnia sold for 28.36 UAH/USD versus 28.51 to buy at the Ukrainian cash market. Its CPI-based real trade-weighted index fell 0.34% to 103.7; in year-on-year terms, it is down 1.55% from 105.31 last year. 
Empire State Capital Partners Ukraine Markets Daily January 16, 2018
UkrSibbank Ukraine Capital Markets Weekly
Galt and Taggart Regional Fixed Income Market Watch (Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Ukraine)
January 15, 2018
ICU Daily Insight -- Hryvnia continues to decline
Description
On the last day of the week, the UAH continued to decline for the third consecutive trading session as the NBU provided no support as bank officials explained the decrease as being caused by usual seasonal fluctuations. It fell 0.3% to 28.537 UAH/USD, and down 1.2% week over week. Liquidity in the banking system fell, with no effect on the exchange rate, as hryvna sold for 28.27 UAH/USD versus 28.52 to buy at the Ukrainian cash market. Its CPI-based real trade-weighted index fell 0.96% to 104.06; in year-on-year terms, it is down 2.66% from 106.9 last year.
Eavex Capital Ukraine Fixed Income Weekly (Jan. 15, 2018)
Empire State Capital Partners Fixed Income Weekly January 15, 2018
Empire State Capital Partners Ukraine Markets Daily January 15, 2018
Eavex Capital Ukraine Market Monitor (Jan. 15, 2018)
January 12, 2018
ICU Daily Insight -- Hryvnia below 28.4/USD
Description
The UAH depreciated against the US dollar on Thursday as demand for local market foreign currency is maintained before the US weekend (also on Monday) as market participants meet their needs. The UAH4.2bn liquidity increase also negatively affected the hryvnia. As a result, the hryvnia weakened by 0.4% to 28.4457 UAH/USD. It sold for 28.11 UAH/USD versus 28.35 to buy at the Ukrainian cash market. Its CPI-based real trade-weighted index fell 1% to 105.07; in year-on-year terms, it is down 2.46% from 107.65 last year.
January 11, 2018
ICU Bond Market Insight -- Yields close to 16%
Description
At its debut auction in 2018, the MoF kept yields unchanged, keeping the yield curve at about 16.00%. This decision allowed it to accept 94.6% of demand and receive UAH986.02m of budget proceeds. However, these funds covered only 36.6% of yesterday's local currency debt repayments.
ICU Daily Insight -- Primary auction yields remain steady
Description
Yesterday, the MoF kept interest rates at about 16% at the first auction of 2018. Accepting 94.6% of demand, the MoF borrowed UAH986.02m, mostly in the shortest offered bond with a 6-month maturity, the most expensive for the budget. 
Empire State Capital Partners Ukraine Markets Daily January 11, 2018
January 10, 2018
ICU Daily Insight -- UAH still close to 3-year low
Description
At the end of the last week, the UAH fell 0.7% to 28.2032 UAH/USD on the back of continued high liquidity and excess demand for foreign currency. To satisfy excess demand for foreign currency, the NBU held a currency auction on Friday that attracted US$66.7m in bids, of which US$50.5m at a weighted average rate of 28.1927 UAH/USD was satisfied. Thanks to the auction, the hryvnia opened Tuesday's trading session appreciating to 28.1567 UAH/USD. However, due to excess demand, it returned to Friday's level. In the local market, the hryvnia sold for 27.99 UAH/USD versus 28.20 to buy at the Ukrainian cash market. Its CPI-based real trade-weighted index fell 0.02% to 105.02; in year-on-year terms, it is down 3.2% from 108.49 last year.
Empire State Capital Partners Ukraine Markets Daily January 10, 2018
January 09, 2018
Eavex Capital Ukraine Fixed Income Weekly (Jan. 9, 2018)
UkrSibbank Ukraine Capital Markets Weekly
Eavex Capital Ukraine Market Monitor (Jan. 9, 2018)
Empire State Capital Partners Ukraine Markets Daily January 09, 2018
January 08, 2018
Cbonds EM CBONDS GLOBAL MONTHLY NEWSLETTER ISSUE STATISTICS AND LEAGUE TABLES for December 2017
January 05, 2018
Raiffeisen Bank Aval Ukraine Monthly Economic Review (December 2017)
“Research and analytics” section shows daily analytical commentary, weekly and special reviews from leading investment banks on the following topics: macroeconomics, money market, bonds and international bonds, syndicated loans and promissory notes. Comments can be searched by topic, source, key words, and review publication frequency. It is possible to set automatic e-mail sending of required comments from a certain source.
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